FC Utrecht vs Willem II prediction — Eredivisie · Sun 11 Oct · 11:15 UK

Eredivisie · Sun 11 Oct · 11:15 UK
65FC Utrecht win20Draw16Willem II win
Full time
3–1

How it finished

FC Utrecht beat Willem II 3–1. FC Utrecht had 24 shots (6 on target) to Willem II's 9 (2), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.6.

FC UtrechtFull-time statsWillem II
58%Possession42%
1.3Expected goals (xG)0.6
24Shots9
6Shots on target2
19Shots inside box7
2Big chances0
7Corners3
1Saves3
15Fouls13
0Offsides2
2Yellow cards0
We predicted
2–1
FC Utrecht to win · 10% for this exact score
Expected goals
2.4v1.1
3.4 in total
Both teams score
60%
Yes
3+ goals
67%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

FC UtrechtFC UtrechtWillem IIWillem II
2.4Goals1.1
29.3Shots16.9
5.7On target3.9
4.5Corners5.2
FC UtrechtFC UtrechtWillem IIWillem II
0.9Goals0.3
13.4Shots7.6
2.4On target2.0
2.1Corners2.4
FC UtrechtFC UtrechtWillem IIWillem II
1.5Goals0.8
15.9Shots9.3
3.3On target1.9
2.4Corners2.7

What we said the chances were

FC Utrecht to score90%
2 or more goals86%
Goal before half-time68%
Willem II to score66%

First half — what we expected

FC Utrecht
58%
to score before half-time
Willem II
24%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

FC UtrechtFC UtrechtWillem IIWillem II
63%12+ shots14%
46%14+ shots<10%
88%1+ shots on target82%
42%3+ shots on target32%
83%1+ corners87%
34%3+ corners42%

League position

Willem II in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Mar 2025Willem II 2–3 FC Utrecht
Sept 2024FC Utrecht 3–2 Willem II
May 2022Willem II 3–0 FC Utrecht
Oct 2021FC Utrecht 5–1 Willem II
May 2021FC Utrecht 3–2 Willem II
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Eredivisie table →
All fixtures & results →FC Utrecht form →Willem II form →

Common questions

Who won FC Utrecht vs Willem II?

FC Utrecht beat Willem II 3–1. FC Utrecht had 24 shots (6 on target) to Willem II's 9 (2), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.6.

What was the final score in FC Utrecht vs Willem II?

FC Utrecht 3–1 Willem II, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Utrecht 65%, the draw 20% and Willem II 16%.

What were the stats in FC Utrecht vs Willem II?

Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–0.6, Shots 24–9, Shots on target 6–2, Shots inside box 19–7, Big chances 2–0, Corners 7–3, Saves 1–3, Fouls 15–13, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 2–0.

Did both teams score in FC Utrecht vs Willem II?

Yes — both FC Utrecht and Willem II scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.