FC Utrecht beat Willem II 3–1. FC Utrecht had 24 shots (6 on target) to Willem II's 9 (2), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.6.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
FC Utrecht beat Willem II 3–1. FC Utrecht had 24 shots (6 on target) to Willem II's 9 (2), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.6.
FC Utrecht 3–1 Willem II, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Utrecht 65%, the draw 20% and Willem II 16%.
Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–0.6, Shots 24–9, Shots on target 6–2, Shots inside box 19–7, Big chances 2–0, Corners 7–3, Saves 1–3, Fouls 15–13, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 2–0.
Yes — both FC Utrecht and Willem II scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.