FT · Netherlands: Eredivisie · Saturday, 31 October 2026
PSV Eindhoven 7–0 Willem IIMatch recap · Saturday, 31 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
PSV Eindhoven win
89%
Result
Draw
8%
Willem II win
4%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
3.8 – 0.8
Total 4.7
Actual
7 – 0
Total 7 (+2.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.6 – 1.2
From the match itself
The match produced 2.3 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.