FC Twente vs FC Thun prediction — Conference League · Thu 15 Oct · 20:00 UK

Conference League · Thu 15 Oct · 20:00 UK
67FC Twente win20Draw13FC Thun win
Full time
1–0

How it finished

FC Twente beat FC Thun 1–0. FC Twente had 22 shots (5 on target) to FC Thun's 6 (0), with 73% of the ball against 27%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 0.2.

FC TwenteFull-time statsFC Thun
73%Possession27%
2.3Expected goals (xG)0.2
22Shots6
5Shots on target0
13Shots inside box1
3Big chances0
6Corners1
0Saves4
6Fouls19
0Offsides0
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
We predicted
2–0
FC Twente to win · 10% for this exact score
Expected goals
2.3v0.9
3.2 in total
Both teams score
54%
Leans yes
3+ goals
62%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

FC TwenteFC TwenteFC ThunFC Thun
2.3Goals0.9
25.9Shots6.9
10.3On target2.4
8.9Corners2.6
FC TwenteFC TwenteFC ThunFC Thun
0.8Goals0.4
12.2Shots3.2
4.9On target1.1
4.2Corners1.2
FC TwenteFC TwenteFC ThunFC Thun
1.5Goals0.5
13.7Shots3.8
5.4On target1.3
4.7Corners1.4

What we said the chances were

FC Twente to score90%
2 or more goals83%
Goal before half-time70%
FC Thun to score61%

First half — what we expected

FC Twente
54%
to score before half-time
FC Thun
34%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

FC TwenteFC TwenteFC ThunFC Thun
62%11+ shots<10%
44%13+ shots<10%
68%4+ shots on target<10%
37%6+ shots on target<10%
74%3+ corners15%
40%5+ corners<10%

League position

FC Thun in their league tableLower half
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Eredivisie table →
All fixtures & results →FC Twente form →FC Thun form →

Common questions

Who won FC Twente vs FC Thun?

FC Twente beat FC Thun 1–0. FC Twente had 22 shots (5 on target) to FC Thun's 6 (0), with 73% of the ball against 27%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 0.2.

What was the final score in FC Twente vs FC Thun?

FC Twente 1–0 FC Thun, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Conference League. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Twente 67%, the draw 20% and FC Thun 13%.

What were the stats in FC Twente vs FC Thun?

Full-time: Possession 73%–27%, Expected goals (xG) 2.3–0.2, Shots 22–6, Shots on target 5–0, Shots inside box 13–1, Big chances 3–0, Corners 6–1, Saves 0–4, Fouls 6–19, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 1–1, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in FC Twente vs FC Thun?

No. It finished 1–0, so FC Thun failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.