FT · Europe: Conference League · Thursday, 05 November 2026
FC Thun 3–1 Heart of MidlothianMatch recap · Thursday, 05 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickWon
Over 25.5 Total Shots✓
Over 6.5 Total Corners✓
Over 6.5 Total Shots on Target✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
FC Thun win
40%
Result
Draw
27%
Heart of Midlothian win
33%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.3
Total 2.7
Actual
3 – 1
Total 4 (+1.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.8 – 1.2
From the match itself
The match produced 1.3 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.