FT · Europe: Conference League · Thursday, 22 October 2026
Lincoln Red Imps 1–4 FC TwenteMatch recap · Thursday, 22 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Lincoln Red Imps win
14%
Draw
23%
FC Twente win
63%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
0.8 – 1.9
Total 2.7
Actual
1 – 4
Total 5 (+2.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.2 – 4.9
From the match itself
The match produced 2.3 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.