How it finished
Manchester City beat FC Porto 2–0. Bawler's model had Manchester City in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. FC Porto had 5 shots (0 on target) to Manchester City's 20 (10), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 0.2 to 2.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won FC Porto vs Manchester City?
Manchester City beat FC Porto 2–0. Bawler's model had Manchester City in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. FC Porto had 5 shots (0 on target) to Manchester City's 20 (10), with 36% of the ball against 64%. Expected goals finished 0.2 to 2.3.
What was the final score in FC Porto vs Manchester City?
FC Porto 0–2 Manchester City, played on 08 Sept 2026 in the Europe: Champions League. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Porto 31%, the draw 27% and Manchester City 42%.
What were the stats in FC Porto vs Manchester City?
Full-time: Possession 36%–64%, Expected goals (xG) 0.2–2.3, Shots 5–20, Shots on target 0–10, Shots inside box 3–13, Big chances 0–6, Corners 2–5, Saves 8–0, Fouls 10–17, Offsides 7–1, Yellow cards 1–3.
Did both teams score in FC Porto vs Manchester City?
No. It finished 0–2, so FC Porto failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for FC Porto vs Manchester City right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Manchester City or draw 69%, it finished Manchester City won (42% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Missed.