How it finished
FC Famalicao and Sporting CP drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Sporting CP at 49% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 2. FC Famalicao had 5 shots (2 on target) to Sporting CP's 16 (5), with 32% of the ball against 68%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 2.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 67%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won FC Famalicao vs Sporting CP?
FC Famalicao and Sporting CP drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Sporting CP at 49% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 2. FC Famalicao had 5 shots (2 on target) to Sporting CP's 16 (5), with 32% of the ball against 68%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 2.3.
What was the final score in FC Famalicao vs Sporting CP?
FC Famalicao 1–1 Sporting CP, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Famalicao 24%, the draw 27% and Sporting CP 49%.
What were the stats in FC Famalicao vs Sporting CP?
Full-time: Possession 32%–68%, Expected goals (xG) 0.4–2.3, Shots 5–16, Shots on target 2–5, Shots inside box 2–12, Big chances 1–5, Corners 4–4, Saves 4–2, Fouls 14–11, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 2–4, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in FC Famalicao vs Sporting CP?
Yes — both FC Famalicao and Sporting CP scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for FC Famalicao vs Sporting CP right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Sporting CP or draw 76%, it finished Draw (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished Yes.