FT · Portugal: Primeira Liga · Saturday, 19 September 2026
C.D. Nacional 0–4 FC FamalicaoMatch recap · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
C.D. Nacional win
28%
Draw
28%
FC Famalicao win
44%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.1 – 1.5
Total 2.6
Actual
0 – 4
Total 4 (+1.4 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.2 – 1.5
From the match itself
The match produced 1.4 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.