Portugal: Primeira LigaSunday 30 Aug, 19:30 UTC

FC Famalicao vGil Vicente

Most likely scoreline
10
13% of the time · 2.43 goals expected
FC Famalicao 46%Draw 32%Gil Vicente 21%
How we get there
FC FamalicaostepGil Vicente
1.48Base xG · rolling 26-match0.94
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.48Final goal estimate — what the model uses0.94

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Famalicao average 5.7 corners per game at home this season (17 competitive matches). Gil Vicente average 5.7 corners per game away from home this season (17 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
9
8
4
1
1
13
12
6
2
2
10
9
4
1
3
5
5
2
1
4
2
2
1
5
1
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Famalicao vs Gil Vicente — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Famalicao and Gil Vicente — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Famalicao 46% · draw 32% · Gil Vicente 21%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.