FC Famalicao vs Gil Vicente prediction — Liga Portugal · Sun 30 Aug · 20:30 UK

Liga Portugal · Sun 30 Aug · 20:30 UK
FC Famalicao 43Draw 29Gil Vicente 28
The call
72%
FC Famalicao or draw
2.4
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–0

How it finished

FC Famalicao and Gil Vicente drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured FC Famalicao at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 29%. It forecast 2.4 goals; nobody scored. FC Famalicao had 7 shots (1 on target) to Gil Vicente's 7 (1), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 0.2 to 0.3.

FC FamalicaoFull-time statsGil Vicente
56%Possession44%
0.2Expected goals (xG)0.3
7Shots7
1Shots on target1
2Shots inside box3
0Big chances0
6Corners3
1Saves1
10Fouls19
0Offsides1
2Yellow cards4
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultFC Famalicao 43%Draw (29% called)
Total goals2.40
Both teams to score49%No
Model call1X 72%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals77%
FC Famalicao to score75%
Over 1.5 goals70%
Gil Vicente to score65%

First half — what we expected

FC FamalicaoBefore half-timeGil Vicente
45%Chance to score51%
4.7Expected shots4.2
1.6Expected shots on target1.5
2.2Expected corners2.1
66%Chance of 4+ shots58%
33%Chance of 6+ shots26%
65%Chance of 1+ shots on target65%
23%Chance of 3+ shots on target20%
87%Chance of 1+ corners85%
37%Chance of 3+ corners34%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 73%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5FAM 2 · D 2 · GIL 1
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

Feb 2026Gil Vicente 5–0 Famalicão
Aug 2025Famalicão 0–0 Gil Vicente
Feb 2025Gil Vicente 0–2 Famalicão
Sept 2024Famalicão 1–1 Gil Vicente
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won FC Famalicao vs Gil Vicente?

FC Famalicao and Gil Vicente drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured FC Famalicao at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 29%. It forecast 2.4 goals; nobody scored. FC Famalicao had 7 shots (1 on target) to Gil Vicente's 7 (1), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 0.2 to 0.3.

What was the final score in FC Famalicao vs Gil Vicente?

FC Famalicao 0–0 Gil Vicente, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Famalicao 43%, the draw 29% and Gil Vicente 28%.

What were the stats in FC Famalicao vs Gil Vicente?

Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 0.2–0.3, Shots 7–7, Shots on target 1–1, Shots inside box 2–3, Big chances 0–0, Corners 6–3, Saves 1–1, Fouls 10–19, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 2–4.

Did both teams score in FC Famalicao vs Gil Vicente?

No. It finished 0–0, so FC Famalicao failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for FC Famalicao vs Gil Vicente right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said FC Famalicao 43%, it finished Draw (29% called); Total goals — we said 2.4, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished No; Model call — we said 1X 72%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Liga Portugal table →
All fixtures & results →FC Famalicao form →Gil Vicente form →