How it finished
FC Cincinnati and Charlotte FC drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured FC Cincinnati at 45% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.4 goals; the match produced 6. FC Cincinnati had 29 shots (10 on target) to Charlotte FC's 8 (4), with 69% of the ball against 31%. Expected goals finished 2.5 to 1.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte FC?
FC Cincinnati and Charlotte FC drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured FC Cincinnati at 45% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.4 goals; the match produced 6. FC Cincinnati had 29 shots (10 on target) to Charlotte FC's 8 (4), with 69% of the ball against 31%. Expected goals finished 2.5 to 1.6.
What was the final score in FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte FC?
FC Cincinnati 3–3 Charlotte FC, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Cincinnati 45%, the draw 24% and Charlotte FC 31%.
What were the stats in FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte FC?
Full-time: Possession 69%–31%, Expected goals (xG) 2.5–1.6, Shots 29–8, Shots on target 10–4, Shots inside box 18–5, Big chances 1–3, Corners 12–3, Saves 1–7, Fouls 6–10, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 2–1.
Did both teams score in FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte FC?
Yes — both FC Cincinnati and Charlotte FC scored, finishing 3–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 66% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte FC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said FC Cincinnati or draw 69%, it finished Draw (24% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 66%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 85%, it finished Landed.