FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte FC prediction — MLS · Sun 13 Sept · 00:30 UK

MLS · Sun 13 Sept · 00:30 UK
FC Cincinnati 45Draw 24Charlotte FC 31
The call
69%
FC Cincinnati or draw
3.4
Goals expected
14d 09hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Over 1.5 goals85%
FC Cincinnati to score85%
Charlotte FC to score78%
Over 2.5 goals66%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)W W L D W D
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.4 / match
Head-to-head, last 5CIN 0 · D 2 · CHA 3
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

May 2026Charlotte FC 2–2 FC Cincinnati
Aug 2025FC Cincinnati 0–1 Charlotte FC
Mar 2025Charlotte FC 2–0 FC Cincinnati
Jul 2024FC Cincinnati 1–3 Charlotte FC
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Common questions

Who will win FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte FC?

Bawler's model rates this match: FC Cincinnati are favoured (45% win probability vs 31% for Charlotte FC, 24% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte FC?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is FC Cincinnati 1-1 Charlotte FC (10.1% probability). Expected total goals: 3.39.

How does Bawler predict FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte FC?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives FC Cincinnati 45%, the draw 24% and Charlotte FC 31%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte FC?

BTTS: Yes (66% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.87 and away expected goals 1.52.

Over or under 2.5 goals in FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte FC?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.39. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →FC Cincinnati form →Charlotte FC form →