What we expect
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Bawler's model rates this match: Bayer Leverkusen are favoured (47% win probability vs 30% for FC Augsburg, 24% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is FC Augsburg 1-1 Bayer Leverkusen (10.5% probability). Expected total goals: 3.28.
How does Bawler predict FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives FC Augsburg 30%, the draw 24% and Bayer Leverkusen 47%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen?
BTTS: Yes (64% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.44 and away expected goals 1.84.
Over or under 2.5 goals in FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.28. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).