How it finished
FC Augsburg and Bayer Leverkusen drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Bayer Leverkusen at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. FC Augsburg had 8 shots (5 on target) to Bayer Leverkusen's 30 (5), with 37% of the ball against 63%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 2.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 80%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen?
FC Augsburg and Bayer Leverkusen drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Bayer Leverkusen at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. FC Augsburg had 8 shots (5 on target) to Bayer Leverkusen's 30 (5), with 37% of the ball against 63%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 2.4.
What was the final score in FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen?
FC Augsburg 2–2 Bayer Leverkusen, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Augsburg 30%, the draw 24% and Bayer Leverkusen 46%.
What were the stats in FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Full-time: Possession 37%–63%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–2.4, Shots 8–30, Shots on target 5–5, Shots inside box 5–21, Big chances 1–0, Corners 2–14, Saves 3–3, Fouls 6–12, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Yes — both FC Augsburg and Bayer Leverkusen scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 64% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Bayer Leverkusen or draw 70%, it finished Draw (24% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 64%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Landed.