FT · Germany: Bundesliga · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Werder Bremen 3–2 FC AugsburgMatch recap · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Werder Bremen win
44%
Result
Draw
25%
FC Augsburg win
31%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.6 – 1.4
Total 3.0
Actual
3 – 2
Total 5 (+2.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.1 – 1.1
From the match itself
The match produced 2.0 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.