FT · Germany: Bundesliga · Saturday, 12 September 2026
FC Augsburg 2–2 Bayer LeverkusenMatch recap · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
FC Augsburg win
30%
Draw
24%
Result
Bayer Leverkusen win
46%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.4 – 1.8
Total 3.3
Actual
2 – 2
Total 4 (+0.7 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.1 – 2.4
From the match itself
The match produced 0.7 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.