How it finished
FC Utrecht beat Excelsior 2–1. Bawler's model had FC Utrecht in front at 38% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Excelsior had 10 shots (4 on target) to FC Utrecht's 12 (6), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Excelsior vs FC Utrecht?
FC Utrecht beat Excelsior 2–1. Bawler's model had FC Utrecht in front at 38% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Excelsior had 10 shots (4 on target) to FC Utrecht's 12 (6), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.4.
What was the final score in Excelsior vs FC Utrecht?
Excelsior 1–2 FC Utrecht, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with Excelsior 37%, the draw 26% and FC Utrecht 38%.
What were the stats in Excelsior vs FC Utrecht?
Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–1.4, Shots 10–12, Shots on target 4–6, Shots inside box 8–8, Big chances 1–4, Corners 5–2, Saves 4–3, Fouls 9–8, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Excelsior vs FC Utrecht?
Yes — both Excelsior and FC Utrecht scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Excelsior vs FC Utrecht right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said FC Utrecht or draw 63%, it finished FC Utrecht won (38% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed.