How it finished
Rio Ave beat Estoril 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Estoril at 47% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Rio Ave 27%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Estoril had 18 shots (6 on target) to Rio Ave's 3 (3), with 55% of the ball against 45%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 0.7, so Estoril created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Estoril vs Rio Ave?
Rio Ave beat Estoril 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Estoril at 47% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Rio Ave 27%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Estoril had 18 shots (6 on target) to Rio Ave's 3 (3), with 55% of the ball against 45%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 0.7, so Estoril created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Estoril vs Rio Ave?
Estoril 0–2 Rio Ave, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal. Bawler's model had gone into it with Estoril 47%, the draw 26% and Rio Ave 27%.
What were the stats in Estoril vs Rio Ave?
Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–0.7, Shots 18–3, Shots on target 6–3, Shots inside box 11–3, Big chances 1–2, Corners 6–3, Saves 1–6, Fouls 11–14, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in Estoril vs Rio Ave?
No. It finished 0–2, so Estoril failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Estoril vs Rio Ave right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Estoril 47%, it finished Rio Ave (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 76%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said 1X 73%, it finished Missed.