Dundee vs Hibernian prediction — Premiership · Sun 30 Aug · 15:00 UK

Premiership · Sun 30 Aug · 15:00 UK
Dundee 27Draw 27Hibernian 47
The call
75%
Over 1.5 goals
2.7
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–2

How it finished

Hibernian beat Dundee 2–1. Bawler's model had Hibernian in front at 47% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. Dundee had 11 shots (3 on target) to Hibernian's 25 (7), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 2.4.

DundeeFull-time statsHibernian
39%Possession61%
0.8Expected goals (xG)2.4
11Shots25
3Shots on target7
7Shots inside box18
1Big chances4
3Corners5
5Saves2
8Fouls14
2Offsides4
1Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultHibernian 47%Hibernian (47% called)
Total goals2.73
Both teams to score54%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 75%Landed
Second callX2 73%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Hibernian to score79%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Under 3.5 goals71%
Dundee to score68%

First half — what we expected

DundeeBefore half-timeHibernian
40%Chance to score60%
6.0Expected shots7.1
1.6Expected shots on target2.7
1.9Expected corners2.5
55%Chance of 6+ shots69%
27%Chance of 8+ shots41%
47%Chance of 2+ shots on target65%
8%Chance of 4+ shots on target29%
54%Chance of 2+ corners69%
14%Chance of 4+ corners25%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 76%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-0.4 / match
Head-to-head, last 5DUN 1 · D 1 · HIB 3
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

Feb 2026Dundee FC 3–3 Hibernian
Nov 2025Hibernian 2–0 Dundee FC
Aug 2025Dundee FC 1–2 Hibernian
Apr 2025Hibernian 4–0 Dundee FC
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Dundee vs Hibernian?

Hibernian beat Dundee 2–1. Bawler's model had Hibernian in front at 47% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. Dundee had 11 shots (3 on target) to Hibernian's 25 (7), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 2.4.

What was the final score in Dundee vs Hibernian?

Dundee 1–2 Hibernian, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the SCOTLAND: Premiership. Bawler's model had gone into it with Dundee 27%, the draw 27% and Hibernian 47%.

What were the stats in Dundee vs Hibernian?

Full-time: Possession 39%–61%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–2.4, Shots 11–25, Shots on target 3–7, Shots inside box 7–18, Big chances 1–4, Corners 3–5, Saves 5–2, Fouls 8–14, Offsides 2–4, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Dundee vs Hibernian?

Yes — both Dundee and Hibernian scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Dundee vs Hibernian right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Hibernian 47%, it finished Hibernian (47% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 75%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said X2 73%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Premiership table →
All fixtures & results →Dundee form →Hibernian form →