FT · EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification · Thursday, 20 August 2026
KAA Gent 0–0 HibernianMatch recap & how our call landed · Thursday, 20 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was KAA Gent or draw at 77%. Bawler had KAA Gent at 52%, the draw at 25% and Hibernian at 23%. The match finished 0–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
KAA Gent win
52%
Draw
25%
Result
Hibernian win
23%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.8 – 1.1
Total 2.8
Actual
0 – 0
Total 0 (−2.8 against our forecast)
The match produced 2.8 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 78%
Missed
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 goals
Pre-match: 54%
Missed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 25%
Landed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.