Dundee United vs Falkirk prediction — Scottish Prem · Sat 5 Sept · 15:00 UK

Scottish Prem · Sat 5 Sept · 15:00 UK
Dundee United 38Draw 27Falkirk 35
The call
38%
Dundee United to win
2.8
Goals expected
13d 13hUntil lineups lock

Every market the model rates

Dundee United or draw65%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
BTTS56%
Dundee United win to nil20%
Falkirk or draw62%
Under 3.5 goals70%
Correct score 1–112%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)L D D D L L
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 5DUN 1 · D 1 · FAL 3
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

Mar 2026Falkirk 2–1 Dundee United
Feb 2026Falkirk 2–3 Dundee United
Nov 2025Dundee United 0–3 Falkirk
Aug 2025Falkirk 2–2 Dundee United
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Common questions

Who will win Dundee United vs Falkirk?

Bawler's model rates this match: Dundee United are favoured (38% win probability vs 35% for Falkirk, 27% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Dundee United vs Falkirk?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Dundee United 1-1 Falkirk (12.8% probability). Expected total goals: 2.75.

How does Bawler predict Dundee United vs Falkirk?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Dundee United 38%, the draw 27% and Falkirk 35%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Dundee United vs Falkirk?

BTTS: Yes (56% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.40 and away expected goals 1.35.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Dundee United vs Falkirk?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.75. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Premiership table →
All fixtures & results →Dundee United form →Falkirk form →