Dundee United vs Falkirk prediction — Scottish Premiership · Sat 5 Sept · 15:00 UK

Scottish Premiership · Sat 5 Sept · 15:00 UK
Dundee United 38Draw 26Falkirk 35
Our call before kickoff
65%
Dundee United or draw
Landed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
65%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
58%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
55%

How it finished

Dundee United and Falkirk drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Dundee United at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Dundee United had 27 shots (9 on target) to Falkirk's 12 (4), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 0.8.

Dundee UnitedFull-time statsFalkirk
62%Possession38%
2.3Expected goals (xG)0.8
27Shots12
9Shots on target4
21Shots inside box8
4Big chances1
14Corners5
3Saves8
16Fouls14
2Offsides1
3Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callDundee United or draw 65%Draw (26% called)
Total goals2.92
Both teams to score58%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 78%Landed
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 55%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Dundee UnitedFalkirk
1.5
Goals+0.1
1.4
20.6
Shots+4.1
16.4
5.0
On target+2.5
2.5
5.2
Corners+0.6
4.6
Dundee UnitedFalkirk
0.4
Goals+0.1
0.4
8.7
Shots+1.3
7.4
2.2
On target+1.0
1.1
2.4
Corners+0.3
2.2
Dundee UnitedFalkirk
1.0
Goals
1.0
11.8
Shots+2.8
9.1
2.9
On target+1.5
1.4
2.7
Corners+0.3
2.4

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals78%
Dundee United to score77%
Falkirk to score75%
Under 3.5 goals67%

First half — what we expected

Dundee United
45%
to score before half-time
Falkirk
37%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 65%

Dundee UnitedFalkirk
8.71st-half shots7.4
2.21st-half shots on target1.1
2.41st-half corners2.2

First-half chances

59%Chance of 8+ shots44%
38%Chance of 10+ shots25%
85%Chance of 1+ shots on target63%
37%Chance of 3+ shots on target13%
87%Chance of 1+ corners84%
42%Chance of 3+ corners36%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Dundee United8.711.8
Shots · Falkirk7.49.1
Shots on target · Dundee United2.22.9
Shots on target · Falkirk1.11.4
Corners · Dundee United2.42.7
Corners · Falkirk2.22.4
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Dundee United 1 · Draws 1 · Falkirk 3
Falkirk in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Mar 2026Falkirk 2–1 Dundee United
Feb 2026Falkirk 2–3 Dundee United
Nov 2025Dundee United 0–3 Falkirk
Aug 2025Falkirk 2–2 Dundee United
Jul 2024Falkirk 2–0 Dundee United
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Dundee United vs Falkirk?

Dundee United and Falkirk drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Dundee United at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Dundee United had 27 shots (9 on target) to Falkirk's 12 (4), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 0.8.

What was the final score in Dundee United vs Falkirk?

Dundee United 1–1 Falkirk, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the Scotland: Scottish Prem. Bawler's model had gone into it with Dundee United 38%, the draw 26% and Falkirk 35%.

What were the stats in Dundee United vs Falkirk?

Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Expected goals (xG) 2.3–0.8, Shots 27–12, Shots on target 9–4, Shots inside box 21–8, Big chances 4–1, Corners 14–5, Saves 3–8, Fouls 16–14, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 3–2.

Did both teams score in Dundee United vs Falkirk?

Yes — both Dundee United and Falkirk scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Dundee United vs Falkirk right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Dundee United or draw 65%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 55%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Premiership table →
All fixtures & results →Dundee United form →Falkirk form →