Deportivo vs Valencia prediction — LaLiga · Sun 30 Aug · 18:30 UK

LaLiga · Sun 30 Aug · 18:30 UK
Deportivo 34Draw 28Valencia 39
The call
75%
Over 1.5 goals
2.7
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–1

How it finished

Deportivo beat Valencia 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Valencia at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Deportivo 34%. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 4.

What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultValencia 39%Deportivo (34% called)
Total goals2.74
Both teams to score54%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 75%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Valencia to score75%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Deportivo to score72%
Under 3.5 goals72%

First half — what we expected

DeportivoBefore half-timeValencia
43%Chance to score40%
3.9Expected shots4.5
1.9Expected shots on target1.0
2.7Expected corners1.8
53%Chance of 4+ shots63%
21%Chance of 6+ shots30%
65%Chance of 1+ shots on target61%
29%Chance of 3+ shots on target7%
72%Chance of 2+ corners51%
28%Chance of 4+ corners12%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 66%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-0.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 5DEP 0 · D 2 · VAL 3
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

May 2018Valencia 2–1 Deportivo A Coruña
Jan 2018Deportivo A Coruña 1–2 Valencia
Apr 2017Valencia 3–0 Deportivo A Coruña
Oct 2016Deportivo A Coruña 1–1 Valencia
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Deportivo vs Valencia?

Deportivo beat Valencia 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Valencia at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Deportivo 34%. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 4.

What was the final score in Deportivo vs Valencia?

Deportivo 3–1 Valencia, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the SPAIN: LaLiga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Deportivo 34%, the draw 28% and Valencia 39%.

Did both teams score in Deportivo vs Valencia?

Yes — both Deportivo and Valencia scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Deportivo vs Valencia right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Valencia 39%, it finished Deportivo (34% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 75%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

LaLiga table →
All fixtures & results →Deportivo form →Valencia form →