Bawler's pick
3 legs, built by our modelToo close to call the result, so we back the game to be busy: shots, corners and efforts on target.
CSKA Sofia v Trabzonspor prediction
Our model gives CSKA Sofia 30%, the draw 25% and Trabzonspor 45%, so Trabzonspor start as favourites. Our predicted score is CSKA Sofia 1–2 Trabzonspor, the likeliest Trabzonspor win score (9%). Our expected goals are 1.4 for CSKA Sofia and 1.7 for Trabzonspor, 3.1 in all. Both sides are more likely than not to score (62%) and three or more goals is 61%.
CSKA Sofia come in with three wins, two draws and one defeat in their last six. Trabzonspor have five wins, no draws and one defeat over the same run. Ernest Muçi (Trabzonspor) is the player we expect to shoot most, with 3.0 shots if they start. Paul Onuachu (Trabzonspor) leads for shots on target, at 1.2. Fabinho of Trabzonspor is the most booked player in either squad, once every 3 games in 2026/27.
We expect CSKA Sofia to have 14.5 shots (5.7 on target) and Trabzonspor 14.9 (4.9 on target), and corners at 4.8 to 4.9. Bawler's pick combines Over 24.5 Total Shots, Over 6.5 Total Corners and Over 7.5 Total Shots on Target. We make the chance of all three coming in 62%, a fair price of 8/13 (1.61).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
CSKA Sofia · last 6
Trabzonspor · last 6
League position
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Trabzonspor or draw is 70% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
Süper Lig table →Common questions
Who will win CSKA Sofia vs Trabzonspor?
Bawler's model rates this match: Trabzonspor are favoured (45% win probability vs 30% for CSKA Sofia, 25% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for CSKA Sofia vs Trabzonspor?
Bawler's predicted score is CSKA Sofia 1-2 Trabzonspor: the most likely score if Trabzonspor win, which is the likeliest result (45%). Our model puts that exact score at 9.0%. Expected total goals: 3.1.
How does Bawler predict CSKA Sofia vs Trabzonspor?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives CSKA Sofia 30%, the draw 25% and Trabzonspor 45%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in CSKA Sofia vs Trabzonspor?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 62% chance. That is based on CSKA Sofia expecting 1.40 goals and Trabzonspor 1.74.
Over or under 2.5 goals in CSKA Sofia vs Trabzonspor?
Bawler's model expects 3.1 goals in total. It leans towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 61%.
When are the CSKA Sofia v Trabzonspor line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for CSKA Sofia v Trabzonspor?
Over 24.5 Total Shots (79%), Over 6.5 Total Corners (82%), Over 7.5 Total Shots on Target (81%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 62% chance, a fair price of 8/13 (1.61). 18+, please gamble responsibly.