FT · Europe: Conference League · Thursday, 05 November 2026
Panathinaikos 2–1 CSKA SofiaMatch recap · Thursday, 05 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickWon
Panathinaikos or Draw✓
Panathinaikos Over 10.5 Shots✓
Cyriel Dessers 1+ Shot on TargetDidn't start, so this leg was droppedDropped
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats on the legs left in play. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Panathinaikos win
69%
Result
Draw
19%
CSKA Sofia win
12%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.3 – 0.9
Total 3.2
Actual
2 – 1
Total 3 (−0.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.6 – 1.1
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.2 of our 3.2.