Columbus Crew vs New York City FC
Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.
Over 1.5 Goals sits at 69% probability because Columbus's 1.49 xG and 0.41 edge over New York City's 1.08 creates a high-volume attacking setup at home.
Columbus CrewstepNew York City FCColumbus Crew average 5.5 corners per game at home this season (25 competitive matches). New York City average 3.4 corners per game away from home this season (26 competitive matches).
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
More predictions for these teams
Columbus Crew vs New York City — Head-to-Head
In 1 recorded meeting since 10 May 2026, Columbus Crew have won 0, New York City have won 1, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | New York City 3–0 Columbus Crew | USA: MLS |
The model's verdict for this fixture: Columbus Crew 43% · draw 32% · New York City 25%.
Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.
Columbus Crew 1–2 New York City FCModel estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.