Colorado Rapids vs San Diego FC
Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.
Over 1.5 Goals sits at 84% because Colorado's 1.98 expected goals vastly outpaces San Diego's 1.29, signalling a comfortable attacking edge at home.
Colorado RapidsstepSan Diego FCColorado Rapids average 6.1 corners per game at home this season (21 competitive matches). San Diego average 4.0 corners per game away from home this season (22 competitive matches).
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
More predictions for these teams
Colorado Rapids vs San Diego — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Colorado Rapids and San Diego — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Colorado Rapids 51% · draw 27% · San Diego 23%.
Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.
Colorado Rapids 1–0 San Diego FCModel estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.