Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake prediction — MLS · Sun 30 Aug · 02:30 UK

MLS · Sun 30 Aug · 02:30 UK
Colorado Rapids 46Draw 25Real Salt Lake 29
The call
82%
Over 1.5 goals
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–0

How it finished

Colorado Rapids beat Real Salt Lake 1–0. Bawler's model had Colorado Rapids in front at 46% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. Colorado Rapids had 14 shots (4 on target) to Real Salt Lake's 4 (0), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 0.1.

Colorado…Full-time statsReal Salt…
64%Possession36%
1.2Expected goals (xG)0.1
14Shots4
4Shots on target0
10Shots inside box1
2Big chances0
7Corners1
0Saves3
13Fouls21
1Offsides2
3Yellow cards5
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultColorado Rapids 46%Colorado Rapids (46% called)
Total goals3.11
Both teams to score62%No
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 82%Missed
Second call1X 71%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Colorado Rapids to score83%
Over 1.5 goals82%
Real Salt Lake to score75%
Under 3.5 goals61%

First half — what we expected

Colorado RapidsBefore half-timeReal Salt Lake
49%Chance to score61%
6.7Expected shots4.9
1.9Expected shots on target2.1
2.6Expected corners1.8
64%Chance of 6+ shots37%
37%Chance of 8+ shots14%
65%Chance of 1+ shots on target65%
29%Chance of 3+ shots on target35%
70%Chance of 2+ corners51%
26%Chance of 4+ corners12%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 80%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.4 / match
Head-to-head, last 5COL 2 · D 0 · SAL 3
Opponent strength indexLower mid

Head to head

May 2026Real Salt Lake 2–1 Colorado Rapids
Oct 2025Real Salt Lake 1–0 Colorado Rapids
May 2025Colorado Rapids 1–0 Real Salt Lake
Jul 2024Colorado Rapids 3–2 Real Salt Lake
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake?

Colorado Rapids beat Real Salt Lake 1–0. Bawler's model had Colorado Rapids in front at 46% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. Colorado Rapids had 14 shots (4 on target) to Real Salt Lake's 4 (0), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 0.1.

What was the final score in Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake?

Colorado Rapids 1–0 Real Salt Lake, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Colorado Rapids 46%, the draw 25% and Real Salt Lake 29%.

What were the stats in Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake?

Full-time: Possession 64%–36%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–0.1, Shots 14–4, Shots on target 4–0, Shots inside box 10–1, Big chances 2–0, Corners 7–1, Saves 0–3, Fouls 13–21, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 3–5.

Did both teams score in Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake?

No. It finished 1–0, so Real Salt Lake failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Colorado Rapids 46%, it finished Colorado Rapids (46% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 82%, it finished Missed; Second call — we said 1X 71%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Colorado Rapids form →Real Salt Lake form →