How it finished
Aston Villa beat Club Brugge 3–2. Bawler's model had Aston Villa in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals; the match produced 5. Club Brugge had 14 shots (7 on target) to Aston Villa's 21 (9), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 3.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Club Brugge vs Aston Villa?
Aston Villa beat Club Brugge 3–2. Bawler's model had Aston Villa in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals; the match produced 5. Club Brugge had 14 shots (7 on target) to Aston Villa's 21 (9), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 3.0.
What was the final score in Club Brugge vs Aston Villa?
Club Brugge 2–3 Aston Villa, played on 08 Sept 2026 in the Europe: Champions League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Club Brugge 28%, the draw 24% and Aston Villa 48%.
What were the stats in Club Brugge vs Aston Villa?
Full-time: Possession 64%–36%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–3.0, Shots 14–21, Shots on target 7–9, Shots inside box 10–15, Big chances 2–4, Corners 4–5, Saves 5–5, Fouls 17–15, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 3–3.
Did both teams score in Club Brugge vs Aston Villa?
Yes — both Club Brugge and Aston Villa scored, finishing 2–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 65% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Club Brugge vs Aston Villa right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Aston Villa or draw 72%, it finished Aston Villa won (48% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 65%, it finished Yes.