FT · BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League · Sunday, 23 August 2026
Club Brugge 1–0 Cercle Brugge KSVMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 23 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Club Brugge to win at 69%. Bawler had Club Brugge at 69%, the draw at 17% and Cercle Brugge KSV at 14%. The match finished 1–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
Club Brugge win
69%
Result
Draw
17%
Cercle Brugge KSV win
14%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.8 – 1.2
Total 4.0
Actual
1 – 0
Total 1 (−3.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.8 – 0.8
From the match itself
The match produced 3.0 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Club Brugge to win
Pre-match: 69%
Landed
Outside shot
Under 2.5 goals
Pre-match: 24%
Landed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.