Osasuna beat Celta Vigo 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Celta Vigo at 49% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Osasuna 25%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 4. Celta Vigo had 4 shots (2 on target) to Osasuna's 13 (5), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 0.1 to 2.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
Chance of at least one first-half goal: 68%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.
Osasuna beat Celta Vigo 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Celta Vigo at 49% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Osasuna 25%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 4. Celta Vigo had 4 shots (2 on target) to Osasuna's 13 (5), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 0.1 to 2.7.
Celta Vigo 1–3 Osasuna, played on 27 Aug 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Celta Vigo 49%, the draw 27% and Osasuna 25%.
Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 0.1–2.7, Shots 4–13, Shots on target 2–5, Shots inside box 1–9, Big chances 0–2, Corners 5–3, Saves 2–1, Fouls 7–16, Offsides 3–4, Yellow cards 0–1, Red cards 1–0.
Yes — both Celta Vigo and Osasuna scored, finishing 1–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Celta Vigo 49%, it finished Osasuna (25% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 74%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said 1X 75%, it finished Missed.