How it finished
Celta Vigo and Málaga drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Celta Vigo at 54% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Celta Vigo had 17 shots (5 on target) to Málaga's 12 (2), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Celta Vigo vs Málaga?
Celta Vigo and Málaga drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Celta Vigo at 54% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Celta Vigo had 17 shots (5 on target) to Málaga's 12 (2), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.5.
What was the final score in Celta Vigo vs Málaga?
Celta Vigo 1–1 Málaga, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Celta Vigo 54%, the draw 25% and Málaga 21%.
What were the stats in Celta Vigo vs Málaga?
Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–0.5, Shots 17–12, Shots on target 5–2, Shots inside box 7–6, Big chances 2–0, Corners 1–5, Saves 1–4, Fouls 10–10, Offsides 6–0, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in Celta Vigo vs Málaga?
Yes — both Celta Vigo and Málaga scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Celta Vigo vs Málaga right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Celta Vigo or draw 79%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Celta Vigo to win 54%, it finished Missed.