Juventus beat Celta Vigo 2–1. Celta Vigo had 9 shots (2 on target) to Juventus' 22 (6), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 1.7.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Juventus beat Celta Vigo 2–1. Celta Vigo had 9 shots (2 on target) to Juventus' 22 (6), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 1.7.
Celta Vigo 1–2 Juventus, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Europa League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Celta Vigo 32%, the draw 27% and Juventus 41%.
Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–1.7, Shots 9–22, Shots on target 2–6, Shots inside box 5–17, Big chances 2–3, Corners 2–7, Saves 4–1, Fouls 12–19, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 1–2.
Yes — both Celta Vigo and Juventus scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.