FT · England: Championship · Saturday, 24 October 2026
Cardiff City 1–0 Birmingham CityMatch recap · Saturday, 24 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Cardiff City win
36%
Result
Draw
25%
Birmingham City win
39%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.6 – 1.6
Total 3.2
Actual
1 – 0
Total 1 (−2.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.4 – 0.6
From the match itself
The match produced 2.2 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.