Cardiff City vs Sheffield United prediction — Championship · Sat 29 Aug · 15:00 UK

Championship · Sat 29 Aug · 15:00 UK
Cardiff City 31Draw 26Sheffield United 43
The call
69%
Sheffield United or draw
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–2

How it finished

Cardiff City and Sheffield United drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Sheffield United at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. Cardiff City had 28 shots (10 on target) to Sheffield United's 6 (4), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 1.5.

Cardiff CityFull-time statsSheffield…
67%Possession33%
2.0Expected goals (xG)1.5
28Shots6
10Shots on target4
21Shots inside box4
2Big chances2
12Corners2
2Saves8
12Fouls11
2Offsides1
2Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultSheffield United 43%Draw (26% called)
Total goals2.94
Both teams to score58%Yes
Model callX2 69%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Sheffield United to score80%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Cardiff City to score73%
Under 3.5 goals67%

First half — what we expected

Cardiff CityBefore half-timeSheffield United
44%Chance to score58%
5.3Expected shots7.0
1.6Expected shots on target2.1
2.4Expected corners2.6
43%Chance of 6+ shots68%
19%Chance of 8+ shots40%
65%Chance of 1+ shots on target65%
22%Chance of 3+ shots on target34%
67%Chance of 2+ corners71%
24%Chance of 4+ corners27%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 76%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-0.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5CAR 1 · D 0 · SHE 4
Opponent strength indexLower mid

Head to head

Apr 2025Sheffield United 2–0 Cardiff City
Jan 2025Sheffield United 0–1 Cardiff City
Dec 2024Cardiff City 0–2 Sheffield United
Apr 2023Sheffield United 4–1 Cardiff City
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Cardiff City vs Sheffield United?

Cardiff City and Sheffield United drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Sheffield United at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. Cardiff City had 28 shots (10 on target) to Sheffield United's 6 (4), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 1.5.

What was the final score in Cardiff City vs Sheffield United?

Cardiff City 2–2 Sheffield United, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Cardiff City 31%, the draw 26% and Sheffield United 43%.

What were the stats in Cardiff City vs Sheffield United?

Full-time: Possession 67%–33%, Expected goals (xG) 2.0–1.5, Shots 28–6, Shots on target 10–4, Shots inside box 21–4, Big chances 2–2, Corners 12–2, Saves 2–8, Fouls 12–11, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 2–2.

Did both teams score in Cardiff City vs Sheffield United?

Yes — both Cardiff City and Sheffield United scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Cardiff City vs Sheffield United right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Sheffield United 43%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said X2 69%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Championship table →
All fixtures & results →Cardiff City form →Sheffield United form →