FT · ENGLAND: Championship · Saturday, 15 August 2026
Sheffield United 0–0 Birmingham CityMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Saturday, 15 August 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✗ Result against the lean
Pre-match, Bawler had Sheffield United at 54%, draw at 29%, Birmingham City at 17%. Against expectation, the match finished 0-0. The model's headline call was Sheffield United to win.
> Pre-match probability vs result
United win
54%
Draw
29%
Actual ✓
City win
17%
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Over 1.5 Goals
Pre-match: 79%
✗ Lost
Medium confidence
Under 2.5 Goals
Pre-match: 50%
✓ Won
Outside shot
X2
Pre-match: 26%
✓ Won