FT · England: Championship · Saturday, 17 October 2026

West Bromwich Albion 3–2 Blackburn RoversMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 17 October 2026

West Bromwich Albion
3–2
West Bromwich Albion win
Blackburn Rovers

Our call before kickoff

Our call landed

Before kickoff our call was West Bromwich Albion or draw at 72%. Bawler had West Bromwich Albion at 44%, the draw at 28% and Blackburn Rovers at 28%. The match finished 3–2.

Pre-match probability vs result

West Bromwich Albion win
44%
Result
Draw
28%
Blackburn Rovers win
28%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.4 – 1.1
Total 2.5
Actual
3 – 2
Total 5 (+2.5 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
3.4 – 0.8
From the match itself

The match produced 2.5 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
West Bromwich Albion or draw
Pre-match: 72%
Landed
Medium confidence
Not both teams to score
Pre-match: 50%
Missed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 24%
Landed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

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