How it finished
Brighton & Hove Albion and Leeds United drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Brighton & Hove Albion at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Brighton & Hove Albion had 20 shots (5 on target) to Leeds United's 10 (5), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 2.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Brighton & Hove Albion vs Leeds United?
Brighton & Hove Albion and Leeds United drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Brighton & Hove Albion at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Brighton & Hove Albion had 20 shots (5 on target) to Leeds United's 10 (5), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 2.7.
What was the final score in Brighton & Hove Albion vs Leeds United?
Brighton & Hove Albion 1–1 Leeds United, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Brighton & Hove Albion 50%, the draw 25% and Leeds United 25%.
What were the stats in Brighton & Hove Albion vs Leeds United?
Full-time: Possession 67%–33%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–2.7, Shots 20–10, Shots on target 5–5, Shots inside box 12–10, Big chances 3–5, Corners 7–6, Saves 3–4, Fouls 13–16, Offsides 4–2, Yellow cards 3–3.
Did both teams score in Brighton & Hove Albion vs Leeds United?
Yes — both Brighton & Hove Albion and Leeds United scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Leeds United right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Brighton & Hove Albion or draw 75%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed.