Braga vs Sporting CP prediction — Liga Portugal · Fri 9 Oct · 20:15 UK

Liga Portugal · Fri 9 Oct · 20:15 UK
30Braga win27Draw43Sporting CP win
Full time
1–3

How it finished

Sporting CP beat Braga 3–1. Braga had 15 shots (4 on target) to Sporting CP's 9 (3), with 49% of the ball against 51%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 1.0, so Braga created the better chances and still lost the game.

BragaFull-time statsSporting CP
49%Possession51%
1.5Expected goals (xG)1.0
15Shots9
4Shots on target3
11Shots inside box7
3Big chances2
5Corners2
1Saves3
11Fouls10
0Offsides2
1Yellow cards1
We predicted
0–1
Likeliest score if Sporting CP win (10%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (13%)
Expected goals
1.2v1.5
2.6 in total
Both teams score
53%
Leans yes
3+ goals
49%
Leans unlikely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

BragaBragaSporting CPSporting CP
1.2Goals1.5
7.5Shots7.1
2.9On target3.7
2.9Corners3.4
BragaBragaSporting CPSporting CP
0.7Goals0.6
3.4Shots3.2
1.4On target1.6
1.4Corners1.6
BragaBragaSporting CPSporting CP
0.5Goals0.9
4.1Shots3.9
1.6On target2.1
1.5Corners1.8

What we said the chances were

Sporting CP to score77%
2 or more goals74%
3 goals or fewer73%
Goal before half-time71%
Braga to score69%

First half — what we expected

Braga
48%
to score before half-time
Sporting CP
45%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

BragaBragaSporting CPSporting CP
78%2+ shots75%
41%4+ shots38%
70%1+ shots on target76%
18%3+ shots on target24%
68%1+ corners74%
18%3+ corners23%

League position

Sporting CP in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Mar 2026Braga 2–2 Sporting CP
Oct 2025Sporting CP 1–1 Braga
Apr 2025Sporting CP 1–1 Braga
Nov 2024Braga 2–4 Sporting CP
Feb 2024Sporting CP 5–0 Braga
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Liga Portugal table →
All fixtures & results →Braga form →Sporting CP form →

Common questions

Who won Braga vs Sporting CP?

Sporting CP beat Braga 3–1. Braga had 15 shots (4 on target) to Sporting CP's 9 (3), with 49% of the ball against 51%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 1.0, so Braga created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Braga vs Sporting CP?

Braga 1–3 Sporting CP, played on 09 Oct 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Braga 30%, the draw 27% and Sporting CP 43%.

What were the stats in Braga vs Sporting CP?

Full-time: Possession 49%–51%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–1.0, Shots 15–9, Shots on target 4–3, Shots inside box 11–7, Big chances 3–2, Corners 5–2, Saves 1–3, Fouls 11–10, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Braga vs Sporting CP?

Yes — both Braga and Sporting CP scored, finishing 1–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.