FT · Europe: Conference League · Thursday, 22 October 2026
Braga 2–0 KAA GentMatch recap · Thursday, 22 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Braga win
56%
Result
Draw
25%
KAA Gent win
19%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.7 – 0.9
Total 2.6
Actual
2 – 0
Total 2 (−0.6 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.1 – 0.5
From the match itself
The match produced 0.6 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.