FT · Europe: Conference League · Thursday, 15 October 2026
F.C. København 3–0 BragaMatch recap & how our call landed · Thursday, 15 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was F.C. København or draw at 71%. Bawler had F.C. København at 44%, the draw at 27% and Braga at 29%. The match finished 3–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
F.C. København win
44%
Result
Draw
27%
Braga win
29%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.6 – 1.2
Total 2.8
Actual
3 – 0
Total 3 (+0.2 against our forecast)
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.2 of our 2.8.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 76%
Landed
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 goals
Pre-match: 52%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 27%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.