FT · Portugal: Primeira Liga · Thursday, 10 September 2026
Estrela 2–1 BragaMatch recap · Thursday, 10 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Estrela win
22%
Result
Draw
24%
Braga win
54%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.1 – 1.9
Total 3.0
Actual
2 – 1
Total 3 (+0.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.6 – 0.6
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.0 of our 3.0.