How it finished
Borussia Dortmund beat SC Paderborn 07 3–0. Bawler's model had Borussia Dortmund in front at 72% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 3. Borussia Dortmund had 14 shots (8 on target) to SC Paderborn 07's 10 (0), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 0.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 80%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07?
Borussia Dortmund beat SC Paderborn 07 3–0. Bawler's model had Borussia Dortmund in front at 72% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 3. Borussia Dortmund had 14 shots (8 on target) to SC Paderborn 07's 10 (0), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 0.4.
What was the final score in Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07?
Borussia Dortmund 3–0 SC Paderborn 07, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Borussia Dortmund 72%, the draw 17% and SC Paderborn 07 11%.
What were the stats in Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07?
Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–0.4, Shots 14–10, Shots on target 8–0, Shots inside box 10–5, Big chances 7–0, Corners 7–3, Saves 0–5, Fouls 11–7, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07?
No. It finished 3–0, so SC Paderborn 07 failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07 right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Borussia Dortmund to win 72%, it finished Borussia Dortmund won (72% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No.