West Ham United beat Bolton Wanderers 3–2. Bawler's model had West Ham United in front at 61% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5. Bolton Wanderers had 13 shots (6 on target) to West Ham United's 11 (7), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 2.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
West Ham United beat Bolton Wanderers 3–2. Bawler's model had West Ham United in front at 61% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5. Bolton Wanderers had 13 shots (6 on target) to West Ham United's 11 (7), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 2.2.
Bolton Wanderers 2–3 West Ham United, played on 08 Sept 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Bolton Wanderers 16%, the draw 22% and West Ham United 61%.
Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–2.2, Shots 13–11, Shots on target 6–7, Shots inside box 10–11, Big chances 1–5, Corners 4–5, Saves 4–4, Fouls 7–12, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 0–2.
Yes — both Bolton Wanderers and West Ham United scored, finishing 2–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said West Ham United to win 61%, it finished West Ham United won (61% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes.