How it finished
Bolton Wanderers beat Cardiff City 1–0. Bawler's model had Bolton Wanderers in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Bolton Wanderers had 7 shots (5 on target) to Cardiff City's 17 (10), with 41% of the ball against 59%. On expected goals it was 0.4 to 1.8, so Cardiff City created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 84%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Bolton Wanderers vs Cardiff City?
Bolton Wanderers beat Cardiff City 1–0. Bawler's model had Bolton Wanderers in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. Bolton Wanderers had 7 shots (5 on target) to Cardiff City's 17 (10), with 41% of the ball against 59%. On expected goals it was 0.4 to 1.8, so Cardiff City created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Bolton Wanderers vs Cardiff City?
Bolton Wanderers 1–0 Cardiff City, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Bolton Wanderers 42%, the draw 27% and Cardiff City 32%.
What were the stats in Bolton Wanderers vs Cardiff City?
Full-time: Possession 41%–59%, Expected goals (xG) 0.4–1.8, Shots 7–17, Shots on target 5–10, Shots inside box 4–13, Big chances 1–2, Corners 2–10, Saves 10–4, Fouls 16–13, Offsides 3–7, Yellow cards 5–2.
Did both teams score in Bolton Wanderers vs Cardiff City?
No. It finished 1–0, so Cardiff City failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Bolton Wanderers vs Cardiff City right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Bolton Wanderers or draw 68%, it finished Bolton Wanderers won (42% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Missed.