Benfica beat Vitória de Guimaraes 2–0. Benfica had 23 shots (5 on target) to Vitória de Guimaraes' 8 (0), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 0.4.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Benfica beat Vitória de Guimaraes 2–0. Benfica had 23 shots (5 on target) to Vitória de Guimaraes' 8 (0), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 0.4.
Benfica 2–0 Vitória de Guimaraes, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Benfica 69%, the draw 19% and Vitória de Guimaraes 12%.
Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Expected goals (xG) 2.8–0.4, Shots 23–8, Shots on target 5–0, Shots inside box 20–6, Big chances 5–0, Corners 11–6, Saves 0–3, Fouls 9–23, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 2–5.
No. It finished 2–0, so Vitória de Guimaraes failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.