Benfica vs Vitória de Guimaraes prediction — Liga Portugal · Sun 11 Oct · 18:00 UK

Liga Portugal · Sun 11 Oct · 18:00 UK
69Benfica win19Draw12Vitória de Guimaraes win
Full time
2–0

How it finished

Benfica beat Vitória de Guimaraes 2–0. Benfica had 23 shots (5 on target) to Vitória de Guimaraes' 8 (0), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 0.4.

BenficaFull-time statsVitória de…
62%Possession38%
2.8Expected goals (xG)0.4
23Shots8
5Shots on target0
20Shots inside box6
5Big chances0
11Corners6
0Saves3
9Fouls23
1Offsides2
2Yellow cards5
We predicted
2–0
Benfica to win · 12% for this exact score
Expected goals
2.3v0.8
3.1 in total
Both teams score
50%
Coin flip
3+ goals
59%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

BenficaBenficaVitória de GuimaraesVitória de Guimaraes
2.3Goals0.8
9.0Shots7.0
4.8On target3.0
5.2Corners3.9
BenficaBenficaVitória de GuimaraesVitória de Guimaraes
1.2Goals0.4
4.2Shots3.2
2.3On target1.4
2.4Corners1.9
BenficaBenficaVitória de GuimaraesVitória de Guimaraes
1.0Goals0.5
4.7Shots3.8
2.5On target1.7
2.8Corners2.1

What we said the chances were

Benfica to score90%
2 or more goals81%
Goal before half-time79%
3 goals or fewer63%

First half — what we expected

Benfica
70%
to score before half-time
Vitória de Guimaraes
30%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

BenficaBenficaVitória de GuimaraesVitória de Guimaraes
72%3+ shots56%
41%5+ shots24%
86%1+ shots on target69%
38%3+ shots on target17%
87%1+ corners79%
42%3+ corners29%

League position

Vitória de Guimaraes in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Mar 2026Benfica 3–0 Vitória de Guimarães
Nov 2025Vitória de Guimarães 0–3 Benfica
Apr 2025Vitória de Guimarães 0–3 Benfica
Dec 2024Benfica 1–0 Vitória de Guimarães
Feb 2024Vitória de Guimarães 2–2 Benfica
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Liga Portugal table →
All fixtures & results →Benfica form →Vitória de Guimaraes form →

Common questions

Who won Benfica vs Vitória de Guimaraes?

Benfica beat Vitória de Guimaraes 2–0. Benfica had 23 shots (5 on target) to Vitória de Guimaraes' 8 (0), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 0.4.

What was the final score in Benfica vs Vitória de Guimaraes?

Benfica 2–0 Vitória de Guimaraes, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Benfica 69%, the draw 19% and Vitória de Guimaraes 12%.

What were the stats in Benfica vs Vitória de Guimaraes?

Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Expected goals (xG) 2.8–0.4, Shots 23–8, Shots on target 5–0, Shots inside box 20–6, Big chances 5–0, Corners 11–6, Saves 0–3, Fouls 9–23, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 2–5.

Did both teams score in Benfica vs Vitória de Guimaraes?

No. It finished 2–0, so Vitória de Guimaraes failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.