FT · Portugal: Primeira Liga · Sunday, 08 November 2026
Vitória de Guimaraes 1–2 FC PortoMatch recap · Sunday, 08 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickWon
FC Porto or Draw✓
FC Porto Over 11.5 Shots✓
Borja Sainz 2+ Shots✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Vitória de Guimaraes win
18%
Draw
24%
FC Porto win
58%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
0.9 – 1.8
Total 2.7
Actual
1 – 2
Total 3 (+0.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.7 – 1.6
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.3 of our 2.7.