How it finished
Austin FC and Colorado Rapids drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Colorado Rapids at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Austin FC had 11 shots (2 on target) to Colorado Rapids' 11 (5), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 0.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Austin FC vs Colorado Rapids?
Austin FC and Colorado Rapids drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Colorado Rapids at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Austin FC had 11 shots (2 on target) to Colorado Rapids' 11 (5), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 0.6.
What was the final score in Austin FC vs Colorado Rapids?
Austin FC 1–1 Colorado Rapids, played on 10 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Austin FC 34%, the draw 26% and Colorado Rapids 41%.
What were the stats in Austin FC vs Colorado Rapids?
Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–0.6, Shots 11–11, Shots on target 2–5, Shots inside box 9–5, Big chances 3–0, Corners 8–4, Saves 4–1, Fouls 8–18, Offsides 7–2, Yellow cards 0–2.
Did both teams score in Austin FC vs Colorado Rapids?
Yes — both Austin FC and Colorado Rapids scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Austin FC vs Colorado Rapids right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Colorado Rapids or draw 66%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed.