Austin FC vs Colorado Rapids prediction — MLS · Thu 10 Sept · 01:30 UK

MLS · Thu 10 Sept · 01:30 UK
Austin FC 34Draw 26Colorado Rapids 41
The call
66%
Colorado Rapids or draw
3.0
Goals expected
14d 11hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Over 1.5 goals80%
Colorado Rapids to score79%
Austin FC to score76%
Under 3.5 goals65%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)W W W L W D
Expected goals gap (xG)-0.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5AUS 2 · D 0 · COL 3
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

Aug 2026Colorado Rapids 1–0 Austin FC
Jun 2025Colorado Rapids 0–2 Austin FC
Mar 2025Austin FC 0–1 Colorado Rapids
Oct 2024Austin FC 3–2 Colorado Rapids
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Common questions

Who will win Austin FC vs Colorado Rapids?

Bawler's model rates this match: Colorado Rapids are favoured (41% win probability vs 34% for Austin FC, 26% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Austin FC vs Colorado Rapids?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Austin FC 1-1 Colorado Rapids (11.8% probability). Expected total goals: 3.00.

How does Bawler predict Austin FC vs Colorado Rapids?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Austin FC 34%, the draw 26% and Colorado Rapids 41%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Austin FC vs Colorado Rapids?

BTTS: Yes (60% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.42 and away expected goals 1.58.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Austin FC vs Colorado Rapids?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.00. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Austin FC form →Colorado Rapids form →