FC Cincinnati beat Atlanta United FC 3–1. Atlanta United FC had 16 shots (6 on target) to FC Cincinnati's 13 (4), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.9.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
FC Cincinnati beat Atlanta United FC 3–1. Atlanta United FC had 16 shots (6 on target) to FC Cincinnati's 13 (4), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.9.
Atlanta United FC 1–3 FC Cincinnati, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Atlanta United FC 42%, the draw 24% and FC Cincinnati 34%.
Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–1.9, Shots 16–13, Shots on target 6–4, Shots inside box 10–11, Big chances 2–3, Corners 5–4, Saves 0–5, Fouls 8–14, Offsides 7–1, Yellow cards 2–3.
Yes — both Atlanta United FC and FC Cincinnati scored, finishing 1–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 66% before kickoff.