Charlotte FC beat Atlanta United FC 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Atlanta United FC at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Charlotte FC 37%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Atlanta United FC had 18 shots (3 on target) to Charlotte FC's 13 (5), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
Chance of at least one first-half goal: 73%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.
Charlotte FC beat Atlanta United FC 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Atlanta United FC at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Charlotte FC 37%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Atlanta United FC had 18 shots (3 on target) to Charlotte FC's 13 (5), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.6.
Atlanta United FC 0–2 Charlotte FC, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Atlanta United FC 37%, the draw 26% and Charlotte FC 37%.
Full-time: Possession 59%–41%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–1.6, Shots 18–13, Shots on target 3–5, Shots inside box 6–10, Big chances 0–4, Corners 11–7, Saves 3–3, Fouls 8–5, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 1–1.
No. It finished 0–2, so Atlanta United FC failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Atlanta United FC 37%, it finished Charlotte FC (37% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 80%, it finished Landed.