Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte FC prediction — MLS · Sun 30 Aug · 00:30 UK

MLS · Sun 30 Aug · 00:30 UK
Atlanta United FC 37Draw 26Charlotte FC 37
The call
80%
Over 1.5 goals
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–2

How it finished

Charlotte FC beat Atlanta United FC 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Atlanta United FC at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Charlotte FC 37%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Atlanta United FC had 18 shots (3 on target) to Charlotte FC's 13 (5), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.6.

Atlanta…Full-time statsCharlotte FC
59%Possession41%
0.8Expected goals (xG)1.6
18Shots13
3Shots on target5
6Shots inside box10
0Big chances4
11Corners7
3Saves3
8Fouls5
1Offsides2
1Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultAtlanta United FC 37%Charlotte FC (37% called)
Total goals3.02
Both teams to score61%No
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 80%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals80%
Atlanta United FC to score78%
Charlotte FC to score78%
Under 3.5 goals64%

First half — what we expected

Atlanta United FCBefore half-timeCharlotte FC
48%Chance to score49%
6.7Expected shots5.8
1.9Expected shots on target2.6
2.2Expected corners1.9
63%Chance of 6+ shots51%
35%Chance of 8+ shots24%
58%Chance of 2+ shots on target65%
13%Chance of 4+ shots on target26%
86%Chance of 1+ corners82%
36%Chance of 3+ corners29%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 73%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.0 / match
Head-to-head, last 5ATL 2 · D 1 · CHA 2
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

Jul 2026Charlotte FC 2–2 Atlanta United
Apr 2026Charlotte FC 0–2 Atlanta United
Jul 2025Atlanta United 2–3 Charlotte FC
Mar 2025Charlotte FC 2–0 Atlanta United
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte FC?

Charlotte FC beat Atlanta United FC 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Atlanta United FC at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Charlotte FC 37%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Atlanta United FC had 18 shots (3 on target) to Charlotte FC's 13 (5), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.6.

What was the final score in Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte FC?

Atlanta United FC 0–2 Charlotte FC, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Atlanta United FC 37%, the draw 26% and Charlotte FC 37%.

What were the stats in Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte FC?

Full-time: Possession 59%–41%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–1.6, Shots 18–13, Shots on target 3–5, Shots inside box 6–10, Big chances 0–4, Corners 11–7, Saves 3–3, Fouls 8–5, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte FC?

No. It finished 0–2, so Atlanta United FC failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte FC right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Atlanta United FC 37%, it finished Charlotte FC (37% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 80%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →Atlanta United FC form →Charlotte FC form →