Portugal: Primeira LigaSaturday 29 Aug, 14:30 UTC

Alverca vSanta Clara

Most likely scoreline
1–0
13% of the time · 2.36 goals expected
Alverca 45%Draw 33%Santa Clara 22%
How we get there
AlvercastepSanta Clara
1.42Base xG · rolling 26-match0.94
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.42Final goal estimate — what the model uses0.94

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Alverca average 4.5 corners per game at home this season (18 competitive matches). Santa Clara average 4.4 corners per game away from home this season (18 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
9
9
4
1
1
13
13
6
2
2
10
9
4
1
3
5
4
2
1
4
2
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Alverca fixtures & form →Santa Clara fixtures & form →

Alverca vs Santa Clara — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Alverca and Santa Clara — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Alverca 45% · draw 33% · Santa Clara 22%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Alverca predictions & form →Santa Clara predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.