Al Qadsiah vs Al Ettifaq prediction — Saudi Pro League · Thu 10 Sept · 19:00 UK

Saudi Pro League · Thu 10 Sept · 19:00 UK
Al Qadsiah 74Draw 15Al Ettifaq 10
The call
74%
Al Qadsiah to win
3.8
Goals expected
14d 04hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Al Qadsiah to score94%
Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals72%
Al Ettifaq to score63%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)W W W W L W
Expected goals gap (xG)+1.8 / match
Head-to-head, last 5AQA 3 · D 1 · AET 1
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

Apr 2026Al-Ettifaq 3–2 Al Qadsiah
Feb 2026Al Qadsiah 4–0 Al-Ettifaq
Apr 2025Al Qadsiah 1–1 Al-Ettifaq
Nov 2024Al-Ettifaq 0–2 Al Qadsiah
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Common questions

Who will win Al Qadsiah vs Al Ettifaq?

Bawler's model rates this match: Al Qadsiah are favoured (74% win probability vs 10% for Al Ettifaq, 15% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Al Qadsiah vs Al Ettifaq?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Al Qadsiah 2-0 Al Ettifaq (8.9% probability). Expected total goals: 3.76.

How does Bawler predict Al Qadsiah vs Al Ettifaq?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Al Qadsiah 74%, the draw 15% and Al Ettifaq 10%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Al Qadsiah vs Al Ettifaq?

BTTS: Yes (59% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 2.77 and away expected goals 0.98.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Al Qadsiah vs Al Ettifaq?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.76. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Saudi Pro League table →
Al Qadsiah
Before this
8 SeptHAl Ahli19:00
All fixtures & results →Al Qadsiah form →Al Ettifaq form →