What we expect
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Al Qadsiah vs Al Ahli?
Bawler's model rates this match: Al Qadsiah are favoured (38% win probability vs 36% for Al Ahli, 26% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Al Qadsiah vs Al Ahli?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Al Qadsiah 1-1 Al Ahli (12.3% probability). Expected total goals: 2.90.
How does Bawler predict Al Qadsiah vs Al Ahli?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Al Qadsiah 38%, the draw 26% and Al Ahli 36%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Al Qadsiah vs Al Ahli?
BTTS: Yes (59% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.48 and away expected goals 1.42.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Al Qadsiah vs Al Ahli?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.90. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).