How it finished
Al Qadsiah beat Al Ahli 3–2. Bawler's model had Al Qadsiah in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 5. Al Qadsiah had 11 shots (7 on target) to Al Ahli's 8 (5), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 2.7 to 1.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Al Qadsiah vs Al Ahli?
Al Qadsiah beat Al Ahli 3–2. Bawler's model had Al Qadsiah in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 5. Al Qadsiah had 11 shots (7 on target) to Al Ahli's 8 (5), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 2.7 to 1.2.
What was the final score in Al Qadsiah vs Al Ahli?
Al Qadsiah 3–2 Al Ahli, played on 08 Sept 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Qadsiah 39%, the draw 26% and Al Ahli 35%.
What were the stats in Al Qadsiah vs Al Ahli?
Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 2.7–1.2, Shots 11–8, Shots on target 7–5, Shots inside box 9–7, Big chances 8–2, Corners 6–5, Saves 3–4, Fouls 16–21, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 4–1.
Did both teams score in Al Qadsiah vs Al Ahli?
Yes — both Al Qadsiah and Al Ahli scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Al Qadsiah vs Al Ahli right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Qadsiah or draw 65%, it finished Al Qadsiah won (39% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed.