How it finished
Al Ettifaq beat Abha 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Abha at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Al Ettifaq 33%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 1 was scored. Abha had 9 shots (0 on target) to Al Ettifaq's 8 (1), with 40% of the ball against 60%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 0.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 57%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Abha vs Al Ettifaq?
Al Ettifaq beat Abha 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Abha at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Al Ettifaq 33%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 1 was scored. Abha had 9 shots (0 on target) to Al Ettifaq's 8 (1), with 40% of the ball against 60%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 0.7.
What was the final score in Abha vs Al Ettifaq?
Abha 0–1 Al Ettifaq, played on 04 Sept 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Abha 42%, the draw 25% and Al Ettifaq 33%.
What were the stats in Abha vs Al Ettifaq?
Full-time: Possession 40%–60%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–0.7, Shots 9–8, Shots on target 0–1, Shots inside box 3–6, Big chances 0–2, Corners 1–8, Saves 1–0, Fouls 12–15, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 3–1.
Did both teams score in Abha vs Al Ettifaq?
No. It finished 0–1, so Abha failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Abha vs Al Ettifaq right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Abha or draw 67%, it finished Al Ettifaq won (33% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Missed.